Option Trading College

Subject: The Bull & Bear 180 Pattern
Instructor: The donFranko
Length: 3 sessions

Member TRAINING Navigation

Entry is Key...Exit is Everything! TM

 

The Bull and Bear 180 Pattern

(my personal favorite)

 

Session 1 – Patterns Repeat:

History repeats itself and so do stock trading patterns!

How do you find the perfect fishing hole where the big fish like to swim? Generally, you either search for a very long time or you find an old angler who knows the way.

Well, I am going to teach you some VERY powerful trading patterns that are sure to make you very large and consistent profits!

Based on proven history, people are predictable for the most part. They like to follow a trail as if they were ants. It amuses me to see how easy it is to start a trend and thousands, if not millions of humans will just get in line and follow the scent laid in front of them without question. I certainly know YOU are not a typical ant-minded human simply because you are reading these very words...congratulations for being awake and ready!

Trading anything, especially rapid micro trading, requires undying discipline, knowledge, fearlessness and a clearly defined plan in order to succeed. Most traders disregard all these basic rules of the game and just jump in and out looking for the quick and easy profits; never realizing that loss after loss will compound until they have no more trading capital—I know from real world experience what pain that can cause.

What if you could find a way to accurately predict patterns that work better than 80% of the time? How would this information help you achieve your trading goals?

There is no perfect pattern, well, maybe there is, that can give you a perfect profit; however, there are several that have very consistent movements that you can rely on. The key to these patterns are your entry and exits. If you master the entry, the exits will result in gain, after gain, after gain!

Below I will reveal all of the secrets to the best trading holes where the biggest profit fish swim!

Session 2 – The pattern to look for:

Trading on emotion is the quickest way to the poorhouse, but trading on known winning patterns is the only ticket to the cashiers window!

When you look at all the stock patterns to trade off of, you can become quite overwhelmed with the choices. In fact, if you start to delve into learning them, you will no doubt become a discouraged and confused trader; always chasing your money and never benefiting from the efforts to find these patterns and then execute trades properly.

I can teach you a lot of patterns to look for, but I want you to FORGET everything you think you know about patterns and trust only this one! Why? Simply, because it works better than 80% of the time!

Once you learn how to recognize, and then trade this pattern, you will think you own a money printing machine because it can make you a fortune over time as you master them—then you can compound your trading profits with more size and grown your account exponentially!

The first thing you need to do is learn that patience is the key to making money consistently when trading stocks, and more importantly, if you are trading options because you have very little room for error—especially if you are trading weekly options.

Never try to "force" a trade because you are "thinking" its going to happen.

Never have opinions...they are the death nail to any trading plan—we trade this pattern based on math and discipline!

When you are trading this pattern, you need to just let it happen in order to make them successful.

Below is the basic setup you are looking for.

 

 

Here are the patterns that you should base your decisions on:

 

This particular pattern is simple to spot and easy to execute on 15 or 30 minute charts. It rarely fails, and if you are not greedy, it will make you a very nice profit over and over again—it's the equivalent of Printing Money!$!

You can trade this pattern on every time-frame; however, trading on 5 or 1 minute charts requires extensive experience, capital and enough movement in the stocks price to cover the commissions; and unless you can control 500 or more shares; I DO NOT RECOMMEND you trade them on anything less than 15 minute charts.

If you are trading options, then you MUST use 15 or 30 minute charts; however, I strongly suggest you only trade options with this pattern on daily, weekly or monthly charts until you are very successful with trading stocks.

I do not recommend you day trade with options unless you are very experienced and can buy enough contracts ( 5 or more) to cover the commission with a small move in the option price—buy options with a Delta of .70 or greater for best results.

Session 3 –  How to print MONEY when Day Trading this pattern:

 

I prefer to trade high beta stocks like GOOGL, AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, CMG, CMS, WYNN, PCLN, TSLA, NFLX, NVDA, FB, BABA etc. This strategy works on any stock; however, smaller stocks have smaller moves, so your profits are minimal unless you can purchase a large amount of shares.

If you are trading options with this strategy, then you definitely need to trade the high beta stocks because you need the price movement in the stock so the options move enough to cover the cost of commission and option price spreads and slippage; however, the swings in your p&l will put you to the test, so if you do not have a very high tolerance for draw down, then stick with stocks when day trading options on B180's.

 

FOLLOW THESE RULES EXACTLY AS I HAVE THEM LAID OUT FOR DAY TRADING:

  1. In the beginning, build a watch list of 10 stocks and ONLY trade on 15 or 30 minute charts for best results. If you have experience, then you can use a scanner to find more opportunities. TOS has a scanner (see below) that is effective and you can do this in TradeStation and Worden too.

  2. Look for a minimum of 4 bars UP for Bull 180 or DOWN for Bear 180 plays. You can also do 7, 12 and 20 candlestick bars—you are looking for the reversal off the Fibonacci pivot points: 5, 8, 13, 21.

  3. Once you identify a setup, then you will have 15 minutes to begin research to see if the stock has a reason to move in the direction you are trading. (Important: Do NOT speculate or guess direction, you need to confirm with due diligence the stock has a strong reason to move in the direction of the pattern setup.)

  4. Verify the ATR (Average True Range by calculating the first bar's high including any candle wicks and the low of the last bar in your pattern setup; then divide the total number of bars for the ATR and use that as your initial profit target.

  5. Check distance from the 8ma and 20ma. The farther away the last candle is from the 8ma or 20ma the bigger and faster the snap back can be; on the other hand, the closer it is, the less chance the pattern will result in a total success.

  6. Confirm your moving averages are gong in the direction of the pattern. Pay particular attention to the 200ma and/or 89MA. You ideally want them trending flat or heading in the direction you want the trade to go.

  7. Increase your odds of success by making sure the stocks daily bar is GREEN for bullish plays and RED for bearish plays. The markets overall direction and momentum is heading your way too.

  8. The instant  the next 15min bar (5th or 8th) turns green I buy with a market order. Once I get filled I snap a Fibonacci Retracement line (see criteria below) to give me my exit T-Levels. I also have VWAP on the chart because stocks gravitate to VWAP; and the further away that stock is from VWAP the larger the snap back can be. I place my stop under the low of the last red candle and when I make profits I move my stop under the entry candles low and then follow it up candle-by-candle.

IMPORTANT: Once you have been filled, stick to your stops with 100% discipline!

 

Here are the setups I use in TOS for B180's (you do decreased for Bull and increased for Bear 180's):

 

Here is the Fib retracement settings I use:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Here is a recent 15m Bull 180 on AAPL that I traded:

 

 

 Here is a classic Bull 180 example on CMG with a 30 Minute Chart:

High: $300.00

Low: $292.00

Sread: $8.00

Bars: 7

ATR: $1.14

Profit Range:

$1.00 - $4.00

Note: Your maximum profit target should be a 55% retracement of the entire ATR of the Bull/Bear 180 setup.

 

DO NOT GET GREEDY, THIS IS A SCALPING STRATEGY AND THERE WILL BE DOZENS OF TRADES A WEEK TO MAKE MORE MONEY ON.

Start your research after the 7th 15 minute bar has closed. Calculate your ATR and then get ready when the next 15min bar starts. Ideally you want the 8th 15 minute bar to drop more than the ATR and also that distance away from the 8MA to confirm a better snap back. The instance the next candle turns  green, you enter the trade with a market order and put your  protective stop .05 - .10 under the previous bars low and move it up under the triggered green bars low once you have profits building AND STICK TO IT NO EXCEPTIONS!

 

Take profits or put in a trailing stop once the stock has retraced the ATR or 55% of the total distance of the ATR setup.

 

I snap in a Fib retracement line to guide my exits, and shoot for T2 or VWAP if they are greater than the ATR.

 

 

NEVER get greedy with this pattern. It is for "scalping" profits during the trading day and not for buying and holding. It can and will fail several times, so do not attempt to milk it for every cent of profit with your full lot of shares.

Below is what can happen if you get greedy:

As you can see, had you not taken your profits by the end of the trading day, CMG pulled back dramatically the next day and almost wiped out all of the gains! 

There will be plenty of of these all week long; and if you practice sound discipline on your stops; then you WILL make profits over time—it's a number game not a pinch hitting strategy.

Remember: Pigs get fat...Hogs always get slaughtered!

 

Following the above criteria is one piece of the puzzle. In order to get the most out this pattern you have to do your due diligence on any stocks you are not already very familiar with. Trading on pattern recognition alone will result in more stop outs than profits, so be prepared and make every trade count!

 

Trading Decision Levels:

1 – Lowest odds of success (10 - 25% of buying power)

a. Trading pattern only

 

2 – Good odds of success (25-50% of buying power)

a. Stock daily chart is UP for long plays and DOWN for short plays

b. Stock Sector is UP / DOWN

c. Market is UP / DOWN

d. 180 Reversal bar opens at or very close to the close of the last bar.

 

3. BEST odds of success (50–100% of buying power NOTE: use margin at your own discretion)

a. Stock daily chart is UP / DOWN

b. Sector is UP / DOWN

c. Market is UP / DOWN

d. The 180 reversal bar is at least the ATR away from the 8ma or 20ma.

e. Earnings are one – two weeks away and the company BEAT last time and has a history of beating estimates for bullish plays and the reverse for Bearish plays.

f. There is supporting news to move the stock: multiple analyst upgrades or downgrades, wining contracts, Government support, FDA approvals, management change, lawsuit impact, strong or weak PE ratio etc.—know the fundamentals of the stocks you trade.

g. Volume is 2:1 above average.

 

NOTE: If you follow my 3 simple rules as I have explained them, then you will watch your account grow consistently every day you trade this pattern!

RULE 1:

Once you are in the trade, you MUST place a hard stop within .05-.10 cents of the bottom of the reversal bar.

 

 This stop is non-negotiable and MUST be adhered to

 with 100% trading discipline!

 

REMEMBER, you will have setups that will fail, but you will have many more that will result in a profit, so do not worry about the losing trades; just keep searching for the next candidate and you will be profitable over time.

RULE 2:

Once the next 5 or 15 minute bar has closed above the last one, move your stop up accordingly.

RULE 3:

If your trade has resulted in a 55% retracement of the setup range or the ATR, either move the stop to a trailing stop or take a minimum of 50% of the trade off and lock in the profits! 

PIGS GET FAT...HOGS WILL ALWAYS GET SLAUGHTERED!!

If your trading platform does not offer scanning then I highly recommend you subscribe to www.worden.com and use their Stock Finder software to get live intra-day scanning for these pattern setups. This will save you a ton of time and make you a lot more money!

 

Here are several examples of the pattern: 

Bull and Bear 180 Sample Charts 1

Bull and Bear 180 Sample Charts 2

Bear 180 Sample Charts 3

 

I am now offering private mentoring during live trading sessions.

email me if you want to discuss this.

frank@optionradio.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

Profits Up!

The donFranko 

 

6/21/20

 

 

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