Here is how I categorize my plays:

= SPECULATION - The ONLY time I recommend you  take a shot on these is during options expiration week or ahead of a very big news event or earnings announcement. If you do them during expiration week, you have practically zero time premium decay; therefore, any movement in the stock gives you the best possible profit opportunity. Occasionally I do them earlier in the month if I anticipate a big earnings announcement or news event that could potentially move the stock 10% or more.

 = UNUSUAL OPTION ACTIVITY - These can be played anytime. You should buy at least one month of time if you have less than two weeks to expiration, or purchase the strike that is receiving the volume. These are not for the buy and hold mentality. You have to be ready to take a quick profit; and that can happen as fast as the very next day, but typically within a few days. I recommend, if you cannot watch it during the trading day, to put in a profit sell order (make sure to tell your broker it's a GTC order—good til cancelled) at a minimum of 30% over your purchase price; however, you have to decide how much risk you are willing to take.

 

= SPLIT - These are typically played a week to just a few days before the split. If the stock is popular and has a tendency to move on "news events", you can hold some of your profitable play beyond the split date but more often than not, a split stock will take a dip after that fact.

 

 

LOTTO Plays -  2008

These are the results from trades suggested on our "Current Plays" list.

Note: they are suggested entry and exit points! disclaimer   Profits Up!!

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LAST UPDATE: 12/ 31 / 08     

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ARCHIVED 2006   ARCHIVED 2007

 

WINS:

4

LOSSES:

6

RATIO:

+44%

Profit Based on 10 Contracts Invested Each Time

$134,500.00

 

SYMBOL

(Strike)

DATE

Traded

STRATEGY

Trade

Type

ENTRY PRICE

SOLD PRICE

PROFIT

(LOSS)

ROI

%

DAYS HELD

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

BIDU

4/21/08

Earnings

Commentary

CALLS

17.50

10.00

(7.50)

(50%)

10

BIDU

4/21/\08

Earnings

Commentary

PUTS

6.80

3.40

(3.40)

(50%)

12

AAPL

4/20/08

Earnings

Commentary

CALLS

3.10

7.60

+4.50

+145%

26

AAPL

4/20/08

Earnings

Commentary

PUTS

.25

0

(.25)

(100%)

26

LVS

4/20/08

Earnings

Commentary

CALLS

.20

0

(.20)

(100%)

26

LVS

4/20/08

Earnings

Commentary

PUTS

.20

0

(.20)

(100%)

26

GOOG

GGD QJ

4/16/08

Earnings

Tomorrow

Commentary

PUTS

1.40

0

(1.40)

(100%)

3

GOOG

GOP DL

4/14/08

Earnings

Commentary

CALLS

9.10

78.50

+69.40

+763%

3

GOOG

GOP DO

4/17/08

Earnings

Commentary

CALLS

.75

$39.00

+38.25

+5,099%

1

GOOG
GOP EO

4/14/08

Earnings

Commentary

CALLS

9.10

44.40

+35.30

+388%

7

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

 

 

 ARCHIVED 2003   ARCHIVED 2004 / ARCHIVED 2005  /  ARCHIVED 2006 / ARCHIVED 2007 / ARCHIVED 2008

 

POLICIES AND DISCLAIMERS

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